Statistics, graphs, events – nuclear space drone! How strong are our legs! StockGambler • Russia today Posting in CHAT: Russia Today in the issue: – Inflation expectations of the population are falling – The invisible hand of the market and luxury cars – Western elites about Ukrainians – Inflation in Argentina – my respects Yesterday we wrote about inflation in our home country. Today we’ll add inflation expectations. The day before yesterday the operational passport arrived from InFOM LLC. So. Inflation expectations of the population in February 2024 decreased to 11.9 after January 12.7. It is noted that inflation also dropped to 15.2%. The proportion of citizens who have savings, a cash reserve that will allow the family to survive for some time if they (the citizens) lose their main income, is also growing. In January 2022 it was 34%. Now it is 41%. Some are shocked - what is happening, is Rosstat lying to us? No, Rosstat is not lying to us. A small explanatory group of our colleagues: “Observed” is, according to public surveys, what they see in the store. They ask a Pikabu user, “How have prices changed in the last month?” He replies: “Everything has doubled in price!” The sign says "100%". They ask me “How have prices changed”, I answer “well, bananas have risen in price, eggs have fallen in price, the rest is the same plus or minus”, they note 0.01%. Then the average is calculated: 50%. And Rosstat includes the maximum number of prices, including those that the end consumer does not see - iron ore or audit services. ****************************** Oil from Russia last week Everything is fine. Oil continues to be transported by sea in reasonable quantities. An average of 3.4 million barrels per day. This is less than last week, but more than normal weeks in 2022-2023. I think it's all because of the ceiling. The thoroughbred publication Bloomberg reports that last week we received $1.67 billion in money for all this. This is again higher than normal weeks in 2022-2023. I think it's all because of the ceiling. Supplies from Primorsk to the Baltic Sea have decreased - 8 tankers compared to 11 a week ago. Traffic from Kozmin also fell - 9 versus 12. But from Ust-Luga it increased to 6. In general, a disaster. ************************** And Japan is exactly like that! In recession! Japan's GDP fell 0.4% year on year in the fourth quarter, well short of the 1.4% growth expected by economists polled by Reuters. This follows a 3.3% contraction in the third quarter. Two consecutive quarters of decline are considered a technical recession. For the quarter, GDP fell 0.1%, compared with expected growth of 0.3% in a Reuters poll. Full-blooded edition of the Financial Times online The invisible hand of the market has suddenly appeared in American ports. Imports of thousands of Porsche, Bentley and Audi cars have been suspended. Because a Volkswagen supplier found Chinese components in cars that violated laws against forced labor. Take a look at the problem: The United States is banning the import of products made with forced labor into the western region of Xinjiang and other areas of China under the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act of 2021. The Chinese are doing some kind of program to increase employment in the regions, and then another Human Rights Watch appears and shouts - they took slaves! And Americans are so GOOD! Add to the list! That's all. Proof? Are we in court or what? And then it turns out that the main company's supplier sawed up this electronic part using infant child labor in a Uyghur village. That's all. And now: the problem has affected about 1,000 Porsche sports cars and sports cars, several hundred Bentley cars and several thousand Audi cars. Russia is simply furious! The United States secretly shared secret intelligence with its allies and its Congress that the Russians, defeated on the battlefield and with their economy in ruins, had reached some new and previously unseen heights in the field of space-based nuclear weapons. And soon we will launch magical nuclear devices into various orbits that will threaten the vast American satellite network. Our cosmic wonders carrying rays of nuclear justice will disrupt civilian communications, space surveillance, and military command and control of the United States and its allies. My God, how I wish I could! Lord, how strong we are! Ilya Maksimov successfully re-registered his SpaceX from Delaware to Texas. He writes, if your company is still in Delaware, get out of there as quickly as possible. Apparently a PR firm from Delaware. Some lever in his X with 1.5 million subscribers asks: - Why isn’t anyone talking about this? This is madness! (You have to understand it in a positive way. Like, this is amazing!) What is it about? Yes, our best president in the world said yesterday that the best country in the world is close to creating a vaccine against cancer. But for Vladimir Vladimirovich it is normal to enter a media space that is not ours. Or 200 million views, then 17 million in 14 hours. You have to understand, this is just another hypersonic cartoon. Yes? How's old Warren? Buffet? But things seem to be going well. Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett's fund, sold 10 million Apple shares in the last 3 months of 2023. That's about 1.1% of Berkshire's stake in the tech company. Berkshire's 5.9 percent stake in Apple was worth $174 billion at year's end. Other investments cost much less. Bank of America's stake in Buffett's ownership is less than $40 billion. The fund's latest report showed that investments in Hewlett-Packard fell 78%. The fund also sold 32% of its stake in media company Paramount Global, selling 30.4 million shares. Berkshire also sold its investments in payments business StoneCo, insurers Globe Life and Markel Corporation, and homebuilder DR. Horton. The stock sales cut the number of securities Berkshire owns in its multibillion-dollar stock portfolio to 41 by the end of 2023. The figure fell from 49 12 months earlier as the company sold shares of companies such as General Motors, UPS and Procter. & Gamble earlier this year. And here we present to you the portfolios of the funds of famous citizens Michael Furey and Warren Buffett, mentioned earlier today. Tekon at the end of the 4th quarter of last year. Therefore, the company's share in the portfolio, recent actions (compared to the previous report), number of shares, price at the time of the report and cost are taken into account. Citizen Bury has a truly diverse cast, and Buffett put half of it into one Panama hat. Let me remind you that Michael Bury is the citizen who predicted the collapse of the real estate and mortgage markets that caused the 2008 financial crisis. He not only predicted it, but also made a decent amount of money this fall. There is a good film about this whole story - “The Big Short”. Argentina! Tango, La Boca, Colon, Bariloche, German grandparents, pregnant Russians and inflation! At the end of January 2024, annual inflation in this magical country reached 254.2%. The thirty-year record has been updated. Hurray, comrades! And yes, there is a holiday in Argentina. Argentina's new leader Miley "Shaggy" said last month that a January figure below 25% would be "cause for celebration" and a sign of success in her cost-cutting strategy to end Argentina's dependence on money printing. So what would you think? Price growth in January compared to the previous month was 20.6%, which is slightly lower than in December, when prices rose by 25.5%. Vacation? Vacation! So, how is life in general? This is cool! Bus and subway fares will rise by 360% in the coming months, officials in some of Argentina's 24 regional governments have warned, after Miley Shaggy scrapped a $124 million regional transport subsidy and froze fares in Buenos Aires. The official exchange rate for the Argentine currency, currently 820 pesos to the U.S. dollar, has long been sold cheaper on the black market and in some legal markets used by businesses. Rates there now fluctuate around 1,150 pesos per dollar. The world's largest companies by capitalization On February 14, 2024, Nvidia overtook Google. Grandma Nancy invested successfully. They write that Tesla left the TOP 10 list. “Have you seen the capital letters Apple?” Tinkoff resigned. The icon is now simpler. A peculiar Teutonic knight's bun. How does Cisco make money? Based on the results of the 2nd quarter of the 2024 financial year. I have little understanding of this whole IT thing. I see product sales brought in $9.2 billion for the office in the quarter, down 9% from last year. And the sale of services brought in $3.6 billion. As a result, the net profit was $2.6 billion. Experts will tell us what kind of collaborations and observations these are. The Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) of Russia has established that the Yandex-Taxi service occupies a dominant position in the Russian Federation. The department's press service reported this to TASS. Zanny Minton Beddoes on line: Understand that helping Ukraine is the cheapest way for the United States to strengthen its security. Ukrainians fight and they are killed. The US and Europe supply them with weapons. This is how we resist. Neighbors, what about the visa? What about him? When will it reach you? The curators themselves explain to you…
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We are not alone in predicting the collapse of the United States. Let’s “smell” what inflation statistics in the United States smell like. Turn off your emotions, turn on your mind Posting in CHAT: Russia Rosstat is lying! Author, have you seen the prices in stores? — I see this phrase more than once in comments to my articles. Before we start “sniffing” what American statistics smell like, I will answer this question in advance: I can see prices in stores perfectly well, but I have no reason not to believe Rosstat, and if someone wants to prove to me and everyone that Rosstat. somewhere... he is dishonest and understates the figures, then he needs to prove it: set (photo) prices for the entire range of products, goods, medicines and services that Rosstat uses for calculations (here is the list.), in several large retail chains in several regions, then do the same thing throughout the year, add up all the prices and get two amounts for both years, and then calculate the inflation rate. Then and only then will it be possible to claim that Rosstat calculated something incorrectly. By the way, no one is indignant when prices for housing and communal services rise according to the official Rosstat inflation indicator... Now let’s move on to the USA. Since the end of last year, we have seen an extremely positive picture for the United States. In May 2022, the Fed began raising its key rate to combat long-unprecedented US inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, and it actually worked - US inflation began to decline. . quickly, although in December it again showed a slight rebound from 3.1% to 3.4%: According to official data, inflation in 2021 was 7.04%, in 2022 - 6.45%, and, apparently, in 2023 it will be about 3.4%. This means that prices would have to rise by a total of 17.82% over three years if the inflation rate actually corresponded to the officially announced figures. Now let's “smell” what official US statistics actually smell like. And it will help us smell... Tucker Carlson and his guest - renowned economist Stephanie Pomboy, founder and president of the research firm MacroMavens Tucker: If you step outside the world of rich people, where everything is fine, you will; Realize that people are concerned about the economy... not just about macroeconomics - the impact of monetary policy on the world, but also about their personal well-being: Americans are short of money. Not homeless! The middle class, even the rich, do not have enough money. And then Christmas came... It's a huge problem because everything became more expensive. You may have noticed that a typical grocery bag will now cost you $72.28. Last year it cost $44.4... Note: Let me remind you that last year official inflation was about 3.4%, but in fact it turns out that prices have increased not in three years, but in one year by 62.8% . %! Well, if Tucker isn't lying to us. 😁 ...from forty-four to seventy-two in a year, but in reality it’s even worse. Since Joe Biden took office, prices on almost everything have increased. Bacon has risen in price by 24%, eggs by 41%, alcohol by 11%, airline tickets by 42%, heating oil by 20%, and prices continue to rise: do you see somewhere around 17.82%? Oh, I see – the alcohol content is only 11%. And along with the rise in prices, credit card rates also increased from 16% to 23% (note that interest rates on credit cards are equal to ours, for example, I have a Sberbank credit card - 23.9% per annum - author's note). There is no denying that the country has become poorer and deeper in debt. How bad is it and what happens next? It looks like we are being deceived and everything is much more expensive. This is true? Stephanie: Yes, that's right. This is absolutely true, despite what people on Wall Street and in the Presidential Administration tell us. Wall Street, the administration, the Federal Reserve are reporting a huge victory because reported inflation numbers have slowed from 9 percent to 3 percent, but as you noted, for Americans, prices for everything have gone up and are rising a little less now. hesitant. hint... Remarque: For them, this 9% was stunning? 😁 What would they sing if they had inflation like in Argentina - 160.92% (except December) or Turkey - 65%? But in fact this is so, because with a national debt of 34 trillion dollars, such inflation is disastrous for them, since it will lead to a multiple increase in debt servicing (interest payments) and the ruin of banks that own US national debt with a fixed interest rate. ...that is, everything is prohibitively expensive, but it costs more and more slowly, and for them this is a reason to celebrate. I would like to note that these figures themselves are completely incorrect; they are cited by the government, which tends to underestimate inflation. In fact, all adjustments to the cost of living, things like social security and our tax payments, are tied to this specific indicator, so they should underestimate this figure as much as possible (we don’t have one, so it is useless in Rosstat. understatement - author’s note). In the real world inflation never stopped at 9%, in the real world it was probably as high as 20%. And who knows what she is like now. End of direct speech. Stephanie goes on to report that income growth has not kept pace with rising prices (disposable income is falling), and notes that under Biden, real income (after taxes), adjusted for government inflation measures (that is, not even real inflation), has declined. fell $800 billion while it rose $4.3 trillion under Trump, so people are using credit card money at 23% just to stay current, and those interest payments have doubled since Biden took office. During the pandemic, when checks were mailed—that is, “helicoptered” (printed) money—many people wisely paid off their credit card debt, and now the debt has flared up again and is back to where it was. were. world financial crisis. but now they will be much higher because income growth has not kept pace with inflation, meaning credit card debt will only increase, especially as interest rates rise. Tucker had an interesting question: If a huge percentage of the population stopped paying off their credit card debt, what could they do? Stephanie responds that they will have an answer very soon because the delinquency rate is rising and will likely be reflected in the financial markets as losses mount. The banks are not in very good shape right now because they are suffering huge losses on their securities... Note: They invested in government debt, but due to high inflation and low interest rates on these securities, they suffered large losses, what happened with Silicon Valley Bank. …and once losses on loans, credit cards, commercial real estate and everything else start to rise, they will have real problems that will lead to a crisis that the middle class will pay for. In 2024, she predicts a bad situation where many companies will close because they cannot cope with servicing their debt, and as a result many people will be laid off, making the situation even more difficult for ordinary people. Stephanie believes the United States will have to pay a high price for the most reckless monetary and fiscal policies in the world. Tucker noted that they built the entire economy on debt, but it is now clear that this was madness. Now I want to say it straight to Stephanie again so that the whiners and naysayers in the comments don't say that it is us armchair experts who are predicting the collapse of America, and also showing you what too cheap loans ultimately lead to for the economy and the economy. People: It actually started in the early eighties. We first had a peak in interest rates, and when they began to fall, debt became more and more attractive (hello to supporters of cheap loans 😁👍 - author's note) because it could be borrowed at lower and lower interest rates. , and then it became the engine of economic growth, we stopped being people creating real things and outsourced production - hard work to countries like China, Indonesia, India, etc. And we started making paper (just printing dollars - author's note), which, in my opinion, is a much more elegant business: we let the rest of the world make all our things, like pharmaceuticals, and we make paper. We imagine that we can grow forever on all this debt we are printing because the rest of the world is so enamored with our dollars that they will continue to shower us with money: “No matter how limited our spending, they will continue to support us by lending us money.” and taking our dollars back." However, things are changing, and changing quickly. But they don't do that anymore, they don't buy our treasury bonds anymore (confirmation here) and are actually moving their assets into gold, oil and strategic assets. And they start trading in local currency so that “No need to trade in dollars. I think the end of American hegemony is indeed near. The Biden administration and many in Washington are simply sleeping, ignoring reality. And this is incredibly dangerous both for our economy and for our national security... End quote. Wondering if Wall Street…
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The Taganrog government has published grim statistics on trams Posting in CHAT: Russia Over the past year, 51 accidents involving trams occurred in Taganrog. This figure is double last year's statistics. And 95% of road accidents occurred due to the fault of drivers of personal vehicles. Because of this, trams were idle on the line for a total of 244 hours. And this does not take into account the time required to repair trams after an incident. In this regard, drivers and pedestrians are asked to follow traffic rules, give way to trams and not leave vehicles near trams. Passengers are asked not to cross the road in front of a moving tram or try to jump onto a tram that is already moving. By working together, we can reduce the number of accidents involving trams and avoid disruptions in transport operations due to this! Tatyana Ivchenko It was previously reported that a sentence was passed on the driver of the tram who hit a pedestrian in Taganrog in 1956. Notebook Taganrog News Source link Source link